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For a loaded die, the probabilities of outcomes are given as under:
P (1) = P (2) = 0.2, P (3) = P (5) = P (6) = 0.1 and P (4) = 0.3.
The die is thrown two times. Let A and B be the events, the same number each time and a total score is 10 or more respectively. Determine whether or not A and B are independent.

 

Answers (1)

Solution

Given

For a loaded die –

P (1) = P (2) = 0.2, P (3) = P (5) = P (6) = 0.1 and P (4) = 0.3

The die is thrown twice and

  1. Event of the same number each time
  2. Event of total score of 10 or more.

Therefore, for A,

\\A = \{ (1,1), (2,2), (3,3), (4,4), (5,5), (6,6) \} \\ P(A)= [P (1,1) +P (2,2) +P (3,3) + P (4,4) + P (5,5) + P (6,6)] \\ P(A)= [P (1) \times P (1) + P (2) \times P (2) + P (3) \times P (3) + P (4) \times P (4) +P (5) \times P (5) + P (6) \times P (6)] \\ P(A)= [0.2 \times 0.2+ 0.2 \times 0.2+ 0.1 \times 0.1+0.3 \times 0.3+ 0.1 \times 0.1+ 0.1 \times 0.1] \\ P(A)= [0.04+ 0.04+ 0.01+ 0.09+ 0.01+0.01] \\ P(A)= [0.20] \\

For B,

B= Event of total score is 10 or more

B= {(4,6), (5,5), (5,6), (6,4), (6,5), (6,6)}
\\ P(B)= [P (4,6) + P (5,5) + P (5,6) + P (6,4) + P (6,5) + P (6,6)] \\ \\ P(B)= [P (4) \times P (6) + P (5) \times P (5) + P (5) \times P (6) + P (6) \times P (4) + P (6) \times P (5) + P (6) \times P (6)] \\ \\ P(B)= [0.3 \times 0.1+ 0.1 \times 0.1+ 0.1 \times 0.1+ 0.1 \times 0.3+ 0.1 \times 0.1+ 0.1 \times 0.1] \\ \\ P(B)= [0.03+ 0.01+ 0.01+ 0.03+ 0.01+ 0.01] \\ \\ P(B)= [0.10] \\

For the probability of intersection B i.e. both events occur simultaneously,

A \cap B = {(5,5), (6,6)}

Therefore,

\\P (A B) = P (5,5) + P (6,6) \\P (A B) = P (5) \times P (5) + P (6) \times P (6) \\P (A B) = 0.1 \times 0.1+ 0.1 \times 0.1 \\P (A B) = 0.01+0.01 \\P (A B) = 0.02

Knowing that if two events are independent, then,

\\P (A \cap B) = P(A) P(B) \\ P(A). P(B)= 0.20 \times 0.10 = 0.02 \\

Therefore,

P (A \cap B) = P(A) P(B) \\

Hence, A and B are independent events.

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