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A man takes a forward step with probability 0.8 and backward step with probability 0.2. What is the probability that at the end of 9
steps he is exactly three steps away from the starting point

Answers (1)

One step away means a step forward or a step backward

=> either he took 6 forward steps and 5 backward steps or 6backward steps and 5 forward steps

=> reqd. probability

= 11C6 * (0.4)^6 * (0.5)^5 + 11C6 * (0.4)^5 * (0.6)^5

= 11C5 * (0.4)^5 * (0.6)^5 * (0.4 + 0.6) ... [11C6 = 11C5]

= (11x10x9x8x7)/(1x2x3x4x5) * (0.24)^5

= 0.368.

Posted by

Satyajeet Kumar

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